When the Mock Twins speak, people listen. Well at least I do. I’m not sure how accurate Mel Kiper and Todd McShay are year after year. I tried to find out, but it’s very difficult to archive their mock drafts. ESPN apparently doesn’t want anyone to know exactly what they predicted. I was able to find their final mock draft picks for the Eagles since 2011. How did they do? If they didn’t get it correct, was the player who they predicted better than the Eagles actual selection?
Before we get to all that, here is what the Mock Twins mocking for the Eagles in 2017. It’s not their final predictions, but here is their latest (version 3.0). They will release their final Mocks later this week
Kiper has the Eagles selecting Ohio State cornerback Gareon Conley
The Eagles are in a good spot to get their pick of one of the best cornerbacks in a deep class. Several will be on the board at No. 14 with a potential run on pass-rushers at the top of the first round. Conley, the third member of the Ohio State secondary to be picked so far, is rising after the combine, where he ran a 4.44 40 with a 37.5-inch vertical at 6-0, 195. Defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz needs a new No. 1 corner, and this is a great fit.
McShay has the Eagles taking Stanford running back Christian McCaffery
McCaffrey has a ton of versatility: He can handle 10 or so carries per game, catch passes as a slot receiver and contribute in the return game. He had an exceptional week at the combine, showing off his straight-line speed and short-area quickness. McCaffrey’s elite character could be the tiebreaker with Florida State RB Dalvin Cook for some teams.
I’d be really happy with Run CMC (McCaffery), not too sure about Conley at 14.
Ok, so here Kiper and McShay’s predictions since 2011
2016 – QB Carson Wentz – 2nd overall
Kiper – Wentz
McShay – Wentz
I think every mocker got this one right. Wonder if the Eagles would have made the trade to move up to number two if Jared Goff would have been the pick. Probably not
2015 – WR Nelson Agholor – 20th overall
Kiper – CB Byron Jones
McShay- WR Breshad Perriman
Agholor has been a major disappointment in his first two seasons. He’ll get another shot in 2017 to prove he’s a not a total bust. I’m not holding my breath.
Perriman went 26th to the Ravens and the Cowboys took Jones one pick later. Perriman had 33 catches in 2016 after missing his rookie season with a knee injury. Jones was moved to safety during his rookie season and was a solid has been a solid starter since.
2014 – OLB/DE Marcus Smith – 26th overall (traded down from 22)
Kiper – WR Brandin Cooks
McShay – S Ha Ha Clinton-Dix
The guys had the right idea on this one. According to people in the know, Cooks and Clinton-Dix were the next guys up on the Eagles draft board with Arizona on the clock at 20. The Cardinals had a few good receivers on their roster, so there wasn’t much of a chance they’d take Cooks, but the Eagles didn’t envision being jumped by the Saints, who moved ahead of Chip Kelly and grabbed Cooks with the 20th pick. Clinton-Dix went one pick later to the Packers at 21st, leaving Chip with his pants down and no idea who to take. The Eagles traded back to 26 and the Browns took Johnny Manziel at 22. They tried to trade out of 26, but had no takers, so they selected Marcus Smith, who was graded by most experts in the 3rd or 4th round. Not good and the results haven’t been good either. He did look better in 2016 and could be a contributor in 2017 as a pass rush specialist.
2013 – T Lane Johnson 4th overall
Kiper – Johnson
McShay – Johnson
The Dolphins jumped the Eagles and took Dion Jordan at pick number 3. The team released him last month after two drug suspensions and 3 sacks. Would Chip have taken his former Oregon Duck? Thankfully we never had to find out.
Johnson has two suspensions of his own, but is widely considered one of the best at his position when he is playing, Will be a huge 2017 for Johnson. Could be the teams left tackle as soon as the following year.
2012 – DT Fletcher Cox 12th overall
Kiper – DT Michael Brockers
McShay – DT Fletcher Cox
McShay nailed this one. Brockers would have made sense and has had a nice career for the Rams, but Cox has been the better player and is considered one of the best at his position.
2011 – G Danny Watkins 23rd overall
Kiper – CB Jimmy Smith
McShay – CB Jimmy Smith
Watkins preferred being at the fire house hanging out with the guys over playing football. I did a few shows with him during his rookie season and he didn’t seem all that interested in football. He was projected to be the starter at right guard, but didn’t play a snap until becoming the starter in week 5. Never ended showing much and was released prior to the 2013 season. Genuinely nice guy, just didn’t have the passion to play football.
Smith slipped down in the first round because of he reportedly failed 3 drug tests and had some other off the field issues. The Ravens ended up taking Smith 4 picks after the Eagles took Watkins and was a big part of the Ravens 2012 Super Bowl winning defense. Continues to play well, but has been saddled with injuries and hasn’t been consistently on the field.